The Biggest Depegging of Them All / Ziv Keinan

In the quiet corridors of monetary history, few events have reverberated with such profound implications as the abandonment of the gold standard by the United States in 1971. This wasn’t merely a technical adjustment in financial policy—it was perhaps the most consequential depegging in modern economic history, forever altering the landscape of global finance and challenging our fundamental understanding of money itself.

 

The Golden Age of Certainty

 

For much of human civilization, gold served as the bedrock of monetary systems. Its inherent scarcity, durability, and universal appeal made it the perfect anchor for currency valuation. As economic historian Barry Eichengreen notes in his seminal work “Golden Fetters: The Gold Standard and the Great Depression,” the gold standard represented “a commitment by participating countries to fix the prices of their domestic currencies in terms of a specified amount of gold” (Eichengreen, 1992).

 

This system provided a remarkable degree of stability and predictability. Central banks maintained reserves of gold, and currencies could be redeemed for their equivalent in the precious metal. The arrangement created what economic historian Michael Bordo called a “contingent rule”—a framework that constrained government action and provided confidence in the long-term value of money (Bordo & Kydland, 1995).

 

Bretton Woods: The Compromise

 

The devastation of World War II necessitated a reimagining of the international monetary system. In July 1944, delegates from 44 Allied nations gathered at the Mount Washington Hotel in Bretton Woods, New Hampshire, to architect a new financial order. The resulting Bretton Woods Agreement established what historians sometimes call the “gold-exchange standard”—where the U.S. dollar was pegged to gold at $35 per ounce, and other currencies were pegged to the dollar.

 

As Fred Hirsch documented in his classic text “Money International,” this system made the dollar the world’s reserve currency while maintaining an indirect link to gold. It was, in essence, a compromise between the rigid discipline of the classical gold standard and the flexibility needed for post-war economic reconstruction (Hirsch, 1969).

 

The Nixon Shock: The Ultimate Depegging

 

By the late 1960s, economic pressures were mounting. The United States faced growing trade deficits, inflation from Vietnam War spending, and foreign governments increasingly concerned about America’s ability to honor its gold commitments.

 

France, under President Charles de Gaulle, played a particularly significant role in this drama. Skeptical of American monetary hegemony and advised by economist Jacques Rueff, de Gaulle began systematically converting France’s dollar holdings into gold in 1965. As historian Francis J. Gavin documents in “Gold, Dollars, and Power: The Politics of International Monetary Relations, 1958-1971,” de Gaulle not only withdrew gold from American reserves but publicly criticized the “exorbitant privilege” that the dollar-based system afforded the United States (Gavin, 2004).

 

This French challenge to dollar supremacy triggered what economic historian Benjamin J. Cohen called “a run on the bank” at a global scale, with other nations following France’s example (Cohen, 2001). As American gold reserves dwindled from $25 billion at the end of World War II to just $10 billion by 1971, and confidence waned, President Richard Nixon made a momentous decision.

 

On August 15, 1971, in what became known as the “Nixon Shock,” the president announced the United States would suspend the dollar’s convertibility into gold. This unilateral action effectively ended the Bretton Woods system and launched the era of floating exchange rates. As William Greider dramatically chronicles in “Secrets of the Temple,” this was no mere technical adjustment but a fundamental reimagining of global finance (Greider, 1987).

 

Economic historian Harold James described the moment in his book “International Monetary Cooperation Since Bretton Woods” as “the end of an era.” The world’s primary reserve currency—the mighty dollar—was now unmoored from any tangible asset, floating freely on the tides of market confidence alone (James, 1996).

 

The Aftermath: A New Monetary Paradigm

 

The consequences were profound and far-reaching. Without the discipline imposed by gold convertibility, monetary policy entered uncharted territory. Central banks gained unprecedented freedom to expand money supply, while governments discovered newfound fiscal flexibility. The dollar became what economists call a “fiat currency”—its value derived not from intrinsic worth or convertibility but from government decree and public confidence.

 

Nobel Prize-winning economist Robert Mundell later reflected that this shift represented “the biggest change in the international monetary system since the nineteenth century” (Mundell, 2000). It wasn’t just a policy change—it was a philosophical transformation in how we conceptualize money itself.

 

The Modern Conundrum: Stablecoins and the Search for Stability

 

Fast forward to today’s digital economy, and we find ourselves in the midst of another monetary evolution with the emergence of cryptocurrencies and, specifically, stablecoins. These digital assets attempt to minimize volatility by pegging their value to established currencies—most commonly, the U.S. dollar.

 

Yet herein lies a profound irony: stablecoins pegged to the dollar are ultimately anchored to a currency that itself is unpegged to any tangible asset. They are, in essence, derivatives of a fiat system—stable only to the extent that the underlying reference currency maintains its own stability.

 

This creates what monetary theorist Perry Mehrling might call a “hierarchy of money”—where stablecoins derive their credibility from the dollar, which derives its credibility from the Federal Reserve’s management and the economic might of the United States (Mehrling, 2012).

 

Beyond the Dollar: A Multi-Asset Approach

 

Perhaps the time has come to reimagine pegging mechanisms altogether. Rather than anchoring stablecoins solely to the dollar—itself an unpegged currency—a more robust approach might involve pegging to a basket of multiple currencies and bonds.

 

This model, reminiscent of the International Monetary Fund’s Special Drawing Rights (SDRs), could provide greater stability by diversifying risk across multiple sovereign economies. A stablecoin pegged to a weighted combination of dollars, euros, yen, and high-grade government bonds would be insulated from the volatility or policy decisions of any single nation.

 

Economic historian Charles Kindleberger, author of “Manias, Panics, and Crashes,” often emphasized that monetary stability requires systems that can withstand the inevitable shocks of a dynamic global economy (Kindleberger, 1978). A multi-asset pegging mechanism would embody this principle, creating digital currencies with resilience built into their very design.

 

Conclusion: Learning from History’s Greatest Depegging

 

The abandonment of the gold standard in 1971 remains history’s most consequential depegging—a watershed moment that fundamentally altered our relationship with money. As we navigate the frontier of digital currencies, this historical lesson looms large: the foundations upon which we build monetary systems matter profoundly.

 

Current stablecoins, by pegging exclusively to the unpegged dollar, inherit both the strengths and vulnerabilities of the post-Bretton Woods monetary order. A more thoughtful approach would recognize that stability might better be achieved through diversification—pegging to multiple currencies and bonds rather than a single fiat reference point.

 

In this way, we might create digital assets that learn from, rather than merely replicate, the monetary arrangements of the past. The greatest depegging in history taught us that monetary systems evolve; perhaps the next evolution lies in rethinking what it means to be “stable” in an inherently unstable world.

 

References

Bordo, M. D., & Kydland, F. E. (1995). The gold standard as a rule: An essay in exploration. Explorations in Economic History, 32(4), 423-464.

Cohen, B. J. (2001). Bretton Woods System. In R. J. B. Jones (Ed.), Routledge Encyclopedia of International Political Economy. Routledge.

Eichengreen, B. (1992). Golden Fetters: The Gold Standard and the Great Depression, 1919-1939. Oxford University Press.

Gavin, F. J. (2004). Gold, Dollars, and Power: The Politics of International Monetary Relations, 1958-1971. The University of North Carolina Press.

Greider, W. (1987). Secrets of the Temple: How the Federal Reserve Runs the Country. Simon & Schuster.

Hirsch, F. (1969). Money International. Allen Lane.

James, H. (1996). International Monetary Cooperation Since Bretton Woods. Oxford University Press.

Kindleberger, C. P. (1978). Manias, Panics, and Crashes: A History of Financial Crises. Basic Books.

Mehrling, P. (2012). The Inherent Hierarchy of Money. Social Fairness and Economics: Economic Essays in the Spirit of Duncan Foley, 169, 394.

Mundell, R. A. (2000). A reconsideration of the twentieth century. American Economic Review, 90(3), 327-340.

Stablecoin Evolution: Emerging Use Cases, Market Structure, and Regulatory Landscape

Key Insights from the RWA London Summit 2025

 

A recent panel discussion at the RWA London Summit in February 2025 featured experts from across the digital assets industry providing valuable insights into the evolving stablecoin landscape. The panel, titled “Stablecoins: Building the Bridge to Traditional Finance,” was moderated by Mike Manning, former Head of Blockchain & Digital Currencies at Amazon who worked on the digital euro project. Panelists included Dovile Silenskyte (Director of Digital Assets Research at WisdomTree), Jannah Patchay (Founder and Director of Markets Evolution), Lux Thiagarajah (Director of Growth at OpenPayd), and Jude Fredrick (Director of Business Development at Cryptochill by DeusX).

 

Emerging Use Cases

 

The panel highlighted a significant shift in stablecoin usage patterns over the past 18-24 months. While crypto trading remains the dominant use case (accounting for 91% of usage according to Ripple’s research cited by Silenskyte), cross-border payments are emerging as a compelling application driving stablecoin adoption.

 

This shift coincides with a notable decoupling of stablecoin usage from cryptocurrency prices. Historically, stablecoin activity correlated strongly with Bitcoin and Ethereum price movements. However, as Lux Thiagarajah, Director of Growth at OpenPayd, pointed out, around 18 months ago, this pattern began to change, with stablecoin usage continuing to grow regardless of cryptocurrency market conditions.

 

A key catalyst for this transition was the collapse of crypto-friendly banks like Silvergate and Signature, which drove businesses to seek alternative dollar-based settlement rails. Thiagarajah emphasized that payment processors now need to be “rail agnostic,” incorporating not just traditional systems like SWIFT, SEPA, and FPS, but also blockchain networks like Tron and ERC-20.

 

The cross-border payment use case is particularly compelling for several reasons:

  • Greater transparency
  • Faster settlement
  • Lower costs
  • Simplified currency conversion

 

The panelists also highlighted two additional emerging use cases:

 

  • Yield generation: Thiagarajah noted that unlike traditional EMIs and payment processors that cannot offer interest on fiat balances, stablecoins provide opportunities for users to earn yield on their holdings, particularly for clients in sectors like CFDs who need offshore dollar banking.
  • On-chain settlement for tokenized real-world assets (RWAs): Jannah Patchay emphasized that as the tokenization of traditional assets grows, stablecoins are positioned as the primary digital settlement asset, particularly given the absence of widely available CBDCs and the closed-loop nature of tokenized deposits.

 

The Need for Non-USD Stablecoins

 

Lux Thiagarajah highlighted a striking disconnect in the stablecoin market: approximately 99% of stablecoins are USD-denominated, yet the dollar represents only:

 

  • 85% of FX transactions
  • 40% of SWIFT transactions
  • 60% of global FX reserves

 

This disparity highlights a significant opportunity for non-USD stablecoins, particularly in:

 

  • FX markets: Thiagarajah cited research from Warwick Business School demonstrating that EUR/USDC trading on Uniswap consistently remained within 20 basis points of traditional EUR/USD forex rates. This level of efficiency could dramatically reduce costs for companies conducting cross-border transactions.
  • Regional trade development: Jannah Patchay noted that current correspondent banking routes often follow colonial-era paths, creating inefficient payment flows. She provided an example where a payment from Kenya to Senegal might route through London, New York, and Paris before reaching its destination, adding costs and delays. Patchay argued that non-USD stablecoins could facilitate more direct regional trade and payment networks, particularly in Africa and Asia.

 

The emergence of on-chain FX settlement was highlighted as a potential catalyst for non-USD stablecoin adoption, with platforms like Cumberland and Zodiac Markets already demonstrating T+0 settlement for transactions between different stablecoins.

 

Stablecoins vs. Tokenized Treasury Funds

 

The panel addressed the blurring lines between payment stablecoins and yield-bearing financial products like tokenized money market funds. Patchay emphasized that while both maintain a stable value, they serve fundamentally different purposes:

 

  • Payment stablecoins are designed primarily for transactions and value transfer
  • Tokenized money market funds and similar products are intended for investment and collateral

 

Dovile Silenskyte from WisdomTree described their U.S. tokenized funds (including one yielding over 4%) that allow investors to earn returns while maintaining immediate liquidity for payments. However, most panelists, including Patchay and Thiagarajah, agreed that these products would likely remain distinct, with different pricing mechanisms and regulatory treatments.

 

Thiagarajah highlighted how tokenized funds could have provided a solution during the UK’s 2022 gilt market crisis under Liz Truss, allowing pension funds to use tokenized assets as collateral rather than selling underlying assets, potentially preventing the market disruption that eventually required Bank of England intervention.

 

Market Structure and Competition

 

The current stablecoin market is dominated by Tether and Circle (USDC), which together control over 85% of the market. Panel members had differing views on whether this duopoly would persist:

 

  • Jude Fredrick saw significant profit opportunities attracting new entrants, especially with what he perceived as a more crypto-friendly U.S. administration
  • Lux Thiagarajah believed the leaders would maintain their positions while expanding in different directions:
    • Tether continuing to serve higher-risk jurisdictions and “banking the unbanked”
    • Circle focusing on traditional finance institutions, particularly following its acquisition of Hashnote

 

Thiagarajah also mentioned Ripple’s RL USD as a potential emerging competitor due to the company’s established payment networks and banking relationships.

 

Tether’s announcement of Lightning Network integration to improve speed and reduce transaction costs was discussed by Fredrick, who saw it as opening opportunities for new market entrants. However, Thiagarajah questioned whether traditional financial institutions would adopt Tether despite these improvements, given regulatory considerations.

 

Silenskyte also noted an emerging stablecoin innovation generating high returns through basis trading (going long on Bitcoin while shorting futures), though Jannah Patchay cautioned this was more accurately categorized as a financial derivative rather than a stablecoin.

 

Regulatory Considerations

 

While the panel didn’t have time to fully explore the regulatory landscape, Jannah Patchay emphasized the importance of clear terminology and categories. She noted that the term “stablecoin” has become an unhelpful umbrella covering diverse products with different risk profiles and use cases. Patchay explained that regulators increasingly distinguish between:

 

  • Payment stablecoins intended for transactions
  • Tokenized money market funds regulated as securities
  • Other tokenized assets with their own regulatory frameworks

 

Fredrick alluded to the repeal of SAB 121 (Staff Accounting Bulletin) as a regulatory change that could allow large traditional financial institutions like JP Morgan and Visa to enter the stablecoin space. The regulatory clarity (or lack thereof) was recognized by all panelists as a significant factor in institutional adoption and market evolution.

 

Recent Developments

 

Since this panel discussion, several notable developments have occurred in the stablecoin space:

 

  • PayPal’s stablecoin expansion: PayPal’s PYUSD has gained significant traction and expanded its blockchain support beyond Ethereum to include Solana, enhancing its utility for cross-border payments and Web3 applications.
  • Regulatory progress: The EU’s Markets in Crypto-Assets (MiCA) regulation has begun implementation, providing clarity for stablecoin issuers in Europe, while the U.S. continues to work through a patchwork approach at both federal and state levels.
  • CBDC momentum: Several central banks have accelerated their CBDC development efforts, potentially creating future competition (or complementary infrastructure) for private stablecoins.
  • Increased institutional adoption: Major financial institutions like JPMorgan, BNY Mellon, and Franklin Templeton have increased their engagement with stablecoin technology, particularly for settlement and tokenized asset applications.

 

These developments reinforce the panel’s observations about the evolving use cases and market structure of stablecoins, positioning them as an increasingly important component of both traditional and digital financial infrastructure.

 


This article summarizes the “Stablecoins: Building the Bridge to Traditional Finance” panel at the RWA London Summit 2025, which brought together 200 senior executives from institutions including Fidelity, State Street, and LSEG to explore the future of tokenized real-world assets.

Blockchain Executives Weigh In: Circle’s IPO Sparks Mixed Investment Sentiment

April 3, 2025

 

In a recent survey conducted among our exclusive community of blockchain and Real World Asset (RWA) executives, interesting perspectives emerged regarding Circle’s upcoming initial public offering (IPO). The stablecoin giant recently filed for an IPO following a substantial $1.7 billion windfall from its stablecoin reserves.

 

Survey Results: To Invest or Not to Invest?

 

Our community poll asked a straightforward question: “Would you buy Circle following IPO?” The results revealed divided opinions among industry leaders:

 

  • 56% of respondents see tremendous growth potential, selecting “Yep, the growth opportunities are huge”
  • 44% of respondents expressed hesitation, with responses split between concerns about competition from other stablecoins and commitments to alternative investments

 

Market Context

 

Circle, the company behind the USDC stablecoin, is seeking approval to trade on the New York Stock Exchange under the symbol “CRCL.” This move comes at an interesting time for the stablecoin sector, which has seen increasing competition and regulatory scrutiny.

 

Expert Commentary and Financial Analysis

 

Several community members provided insights that help contextualize these results:

 

An industry leader (former Morgan Stanly) succinctly observed that “Yield is key” – highlighting how declining interest rates could potentially make Circle’s business model less attractive to investors. This sentiment was echoed by others who mentioned that “declining rates makes it less attractive.”

 

A particularly detailed analysis was shared by one executive from a post by @TheOneandOmsy that raised several red flags about Circle’s IPO filing:

 

  • Gross margins are declining significantly, dropping from 59.9% in 2022 to 39.3% in 2024 (a 33% decrease over two years)
  • High operational costs, with over $250 million annually in compensation and an additional $140 million in G&A expenses
  • USDC circulation showing stagnant growth (43,554 in 2022 vs 43,857 in 2024)
  • Interest rates, which drive core income, have likely peaked and are expected to decrease (with a “90% chance of 2 cuts this year”)
  • A price-to-earnings ratio of 32x for 2024 earnings is considered expensive given the company’s loss of “mini-monopoly” status and structural growth challenges
  • Regulatory concerns as the “core US market being deregulated and banks + FIs about to crash the private party”

 

The analysis concludes that the IPO “feels like a hail mary for some liquidity before the squad rolls in” – suggesting the timing may be opportunistic rather than strategic for long-term growth.

 

Looking Ahead

 

As Circle moves forward with its IPO process, these mixed sentiments from industry insiders highlight both the optimism surrounding stablecoin infrastructure and the practical concerns about yield generation in a potentially lower interest rate environment.

 

The IPO will be closely watched as a barometer for how traditional markets value crypto-native financial infrastructure companies. With Circle’s stablecoin serving as a crucial bridge between traditional and decentralized finance, its public market performance could have significant implications for the broader blockchain ecosystem.

 


This blog post is based on an internal survey of blockchain and RWA executives and represents their personal investment perspectives rather than financial advice.